The Fed’s dot plot is a chart updated quarterly that records each Fed official’s projection for the central bank’s key short-term interest rate, the federal funds rate.

Conditional questions are unanswerable. But in their indeterminacy, they highlight the fact that trying to time or game the market might not be the best idea.

Incoming U.S. inflation signals are offering the Federal Reserve little or no justification to resume interest rate cuts, and it's hard to see that changing before September.

Conditional questions are unanswerable. But in their indeterminacy, they highlight the fact that trying to time or game the market might not be the best idea.

March Dot Plot to Highlight Fed Officials’ Outlook In December, the dots showed the median Fed official expected two rate cuts in 2025.

The Fed’s “dot plot” showed that the median forecast for rate cuts in 2025 was now a half-percentage point, lower than their September projections.

The dot plot, decoded When the central bank releases its Summary of Economic Projections each quarter, Fed watchers focus obsessively on one part in particular: the so-called dot plot.

The latest dot plot seemed to signal that Fed officials’ internal consensus on rate cuts is weakening. The range of forecasts for where the bank’s target for the federal-finds rate is going ...

The Problem With Wall Street’s Fixation on the Fed Dot Plot The rate projections give investors and analysts a false sense of precision. Some Fed officials are tired of them.

Conditional questions are unanswerable. But in their indeterminacy, they highlight the fact that trying to time or game the market might not be the best idea.