The Saints, meanwhile, have been more competent than expected offensively, but their defense is a problem — allowing nearly 27 points per game and constantly digging early holes. They’re 2–5 ATS in first halves, which makes Tampa Bay -2.5 in the first half my best bet for the game.

The late window for the Week 7 slate was an absolute whirlwind. After a modest early afternoon set of games, pandemonium broke out with the Broncos ripping off 33 fourth-quarter points to rally from a 19-point deficit to defeat the Giants and avoid the home upset.