Major bank raises red flag on US economy — warns of 93% chance of recession based on ‘hard data.’ Here are 5 crucial money moves you need to make now

Recently, global investment bank UBS announced that, after crunching some “hard data” from between May and July 2025, there’s a 93% chance of the U.S. entering a recession this year [1].

U.S. Recession Probability As Fed Finally Set To Resume Rate Cuts

At long last, the Federal Reserve is on the verge of resuming rate cuts. The Federal Reserve last cut the Federal Funds Rate ...

This 65-year-perfect recession predictor just sent Wall Street a grim warning

Moody's Analytics model signals a potential US recession within the next year, citing a 48% probability. Declining residential building permits contribute to this concern, while high stock valuations ...
Business Insider

JPMorgan cuts the chance of a US recession after Trump and China's tariff truce — but risks remain

JPMorgan revised its recession forecast after President Donald Trump's tariff truce with China. Trump and China agreed to lift most tariffs on each other for 90 days for further negotiations. A ...
Wall Street Journal

Betting Markets Now See One-in-Two Chance of U.S. Recession

The chances of a U.S. recession this year have fallen after President Trump's tariff halt, but remain elevated, according to prices on betting markets. Bettors on Kalshi, a prediction market, recently ...